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Red22
495712.9
355017.5
398512.4
Blue6
353012.9
353212.9
544114.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions422406080100120226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3550
#17
17.51.0
14.313.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.8
End0.0
red by 2.6
5441
#20
14.91.3
11.410.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.1
End0.0
Second
4957
#27
12.91.6
14.112.6
Auto0.0
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 0.1
3530
#39
12.90.8
9.78.9
Auto0.6
Teleop12.3
End0.0
Third
3985
#32
12.41.6
12.611.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.4
End0.0
blue by 0.6
3532
#35
12.91.3
6.65.3
Auto0.8
Teleop12.1
End0.0