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Red33
398816.7
517914.8
338221.4
Blue38
459413.5
416718.0
398618.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373202060803338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3382
#13
21.40.1
14.714.8
Auto0.3
Teleop21.0
End0.0
red by 2.5
3986
#10
18.90.2
16.316.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Second
3988
#28
16.70.1
14.214.3
Auto0.2
Teleop16.5
End0.0
blue by 1.3
4167
#16
18.00.3
8.58.8
Auto0.1
Teleop17.9
End0.0
Third
5179
#23
14.80.1
9.09.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.9
End0.0
red by 1.3
4594
#21
13.50.3
9.49.7
Auto0.9
Teleop12.6
End0.0