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Red30
49423.1
449112.9
495019.0
Blue33
55536.2
452611.4
399031.7
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29390501001502003033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4950
#22
19.00.4
11.912.3
Auto0.1
Teleop18.9
End0.0
blue by 12.7
31.70.3
24.223.9
Auto0.7
Teleop31.0
End0.0
Second
4491
#24
12.90.4
10.911.2
Auto0.5
Teleop12.4
End0.0
red by 1.5
4526
#36
11.40.5
9.08.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.8
End0.0
Third
4942
#46
3.10.4
8.99.2
Auto0.4
Teleop2.8
End0.0
blue by 3.1
5553
#40
6.20.5
6.15.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop6.5
End0.0