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Red72
398816.7
311736.9
29611.8
Blue103
353212.9
336049.2
353312.2
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4255010015020025030072103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.91.3
21.723.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop37.2
End0.0
blue by 12.3
49.22.4
37.840.2
Auto5.7
Teleop43.5
End0.0
Second
3988
#28
16.71.3
14.716.0
Auto0.2
Teleop16.5
End0.0
red by 3.8
3532
#35
12.94.0
8.312.4
Auto0.8
Teleop12.1
End0.0
Third
296
#34
11.82.2
8.911.2
Auto0.0
Teleop11.7
End0.0
blue by 0.4
3533
#38
12.24.0
8.612.6
Auto1.7
Teleop10.4
End0.0