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Red48
400718.9
355017.5
495019.0
Blue10
398512.4
107514.1
49423.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463902060801001201404810

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4950
#22
19.00.1
13.513.7
Auto0.1
Teleop18.9
End0.0
red by 4.8
1075
#31
14.12.6
14.311.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.2
End0.0
Second
4007
#15
18.90.1
18.919.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.0
End0.0
red by 6.5
3985
#32
12.42.6
18.816.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.4
End0.0
Third
3550
#17
17.50.1
14.114.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.8
End0.0
red by 14.4
4942
#46
3.12.6
8.45.7
Auto0.4
Teleop2.8
End0.0