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Red36
452611.4
459413.5
259051.2
Blue18
399642.0
35446.0
557012.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6341020801001201401603618

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.21.3
43.241.9
Auto2.7
Teleop48.5
End0.0
red by 9.2
42.02.3
24.021.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop42.0
End0.0
Second
4594
#21
13.52.2
9.67.4
Auto0.9
Teleop12.6
End0.0
red by 0.7
5570
#33
12.82.3
12.310.1
Auto0.9
Teleop11.8
End0.0
Third
4526
#36
11.42.2
9.17.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.8
End0.0
red by 5.4
3544
#37
6.02.3
9.26.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.1
End0.0