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Red43
544324.4
107514.1
353012.9
Blue19
55536.2
416718.0
39796.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372802060801004319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5443
#26
24.40.5
15.415.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop24.4
End0.0
red by 6.4
4167
#16
18.00.9
9.88.9
Auto0.1
Teleop17.9
End0.0
Second
1075
#31
14.10.5
11.712.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.2
End0.0
red by 7.3
3979
#42
6.80.9
11.410.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.1
End0.0
Third
3530
#39
12.90.3
9.69.9
Auto0.6
Teleop12.3
End0.0
red by 6.8
5553
#40
6.20.9
8.87.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop6.5
End0.0