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Red78
494729.9
151133.6
544324.4
Blue6
49552.7
452611.4
449112.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7812050100150200250786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.60.6
31.231.8
Auto0.3
Teleop33.3
End0.0
red by 20.8
4491
#24
12.91.2
13.612.3
Auto0.5
Teleop12.4
End0.0
Second
29.90.6
24.124.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop30.2
End0.0
red by 18.5
4526
#36
11.41.3
8.26.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.8
End0.0
Third
5443
#26
24.40.5
15.516.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop24.4
End0.0
red by 21.7
4955
#45
2.71.3
1.2-0.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.7
End0.0