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Red20
557012.8
55536.2
50955.3
Blue12
398816.7
495228.5
544114.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19680501001502002012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5570
#33
12.80.6
13.613.0
Auto0.9
Teleop11.8
End0.0
blue by 15.7
28.53.7
28.324.6
Auto0.6
Teleop27.9
End0.0
Second
5553
#40
6.20.6
7.57.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop6.5
End0.0
blue by 10.5
3988
#28
16.72.6
17.715.2
Auto0.2
Teleop16.5
End0.0
Third
5095
#44
5.30.6
6.66.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop5.7
End0.0
blue by 9.6
5441
#20
14.93.7
17.213.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.1
End0.0