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Red5
49423.1
39756.8
337914.0
Blue16
35446.0
338715.6
39796.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2732050100150200250516

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3379
#30
14.01.3
14.713.4
Auto0.5
Teleop13.5
End0.0
blue by 1.6
3387
#25
15.60.8
15.815.0
Auto1.1
Teleop14.5
End0.0
Second
3975
#41
6.81.3
9.58.2
Auto0.9
Teleop5.9
End0.0
Level
3979
#42
6.81.2
9.07.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.1
End0.0
Third
4942
#46
3.11.3
4.43.1
Auto0.4
Teleop2.8
End0.0
blue by 2.9
3544
#37
6.01.2
7.56.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.1
End0.0