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Red15
50955.3
544415.3
39810.8
Blue106
338221.4
355017.5
336049.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2454010015015106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5444
#14
15.38.0
15.37.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop15.8
End0.0
blue by 33.9
49.23.3
29.733.0
Auto5.7
Teleop43.5
End0.0
Second
5095
#44
5.31.2
12.211.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop5.7
End0.0
blue by 16.1
3382
#13
21.44.5
10.214.7
Auto0.3
Teleop21.0
End0.0
Third
3981
#47
0.81.2
9.27.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop1.3
End0.0
blue by 16.7
3550
#17
17.53.3
11.715.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.8
End0.0