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Red44
552827.1
396916.5
338715.6
Blue78
459413.5
398512.4
495228.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293801001502002503004478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5528
#18
27.124.5
34.09.6
Auto0.5
Teleop26.6
End0.0
blue by 1.4
28.53.4
15.518.9
Auto0.6
Teleop27.9
End0.0
Second
3969
#29
16.51.0
9.310.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.6
End0.0
red by 3.0
4594
#21
13.53.4
8.912.3
Auto0.9
Teleop12.6
End0.0
Third
3387
#25
15.60.7
13.914.7
Auto1.1
Teleop14.5
End0.0
red by 3.2
3985
#32
12.43.4
13.216.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.4
End0.0