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Red32
39810.8
54396.0
561828.0
Blue83
353012.9
311736.9
452611.4
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354601001502003283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.4
28.828.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop28.1
End0.0
blue by 8.9
36.91.9
27.629.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop37.2
End0.0
Second
5439
#43
6.00.4
7.26.8
Auto0.5
Teleop5.5
End0.0
blue by 6.9
3530
#39
12.91.9
9.211.1
Auto0.6
Teleop12.3
End0.0
Third
3981
#47
0.80.4
2.01.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop1.3
End0.0
blue by 10.6
4526
#36
11.42.5
8.911.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.8
End0.0