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Red37
449112.9
398816.7
557012.8
Blue55
107514.1
337914.0
544415.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3938203050603755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3988
#28
16.70.2
15.215.0
Auto0.2
Teleop16.5
End0.0
red by 1.4
5444
#14
15.31.0
13.114.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop15.8
End0.0
Second
4491
#24
12.90.2
12.312.1
Auto0.5
Teleop12.4
End0.0
blue by 1.3
1075
#31
14.11.0
13.114.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.2
End0.0
Third
5570
#33
12.80.2
13.012.8
Auto0.9
Teleop11.8
End0.0
blue by 1.3
3379
#30
14.01.0
13.414.5
Auto0.5
Teleop13.5
End0.0