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Red80
544021.0
353012.9
495228.5
Blue42
338221.4
49423.1
400718.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions533902060801001201408042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.51.8
24.626.4
Auto0.6
Teleop27.9
End0.0
red by 7.1
3382
#13
21.40.0
20.820.8
Auto0.3
Teleop21.0
End0.0
Second
5440
#11
21.01.8
17.118.9
Auto0.5
Teleop20.4
End0.0
red by 2.1
4007
#15
18.90.0
18.518.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.0
End0.0
Third
3530
#39
12.91.4
11.112.5
Auto0.6
Teleop12.3
End0.0
red by 9.8
4942
#46
3.10.0
3.13.1
Auto0.4
Teleop2.8
End0.0