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Red48
259051.2
55536.2
495712.9
Blue14
353312.2
39810.8
396916.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71230501001504814

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.20.6
45.544.9
Auto2.7
Teleop48.5
End0.0
red by 34.8
3969
#29
16.50.7
16.615.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.6
End0.0
Second
4957
#27
12.90.8
13.712.9
Auto0.0
Teleop12.9
End0.0
red by 0.7
3533
#38
12.20.7
12.912.2
Auto1.7
Teleop10.4
End0.0
Third
5553
#40
6.20.8
7.06.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop6.5
End0.0
red by 5.4
3981
#47
0.80.7
1.50.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop1.3
End0.0