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Red92
206738.7
109930.3
115320.8
Blue118
110032.0
173536.6
252328.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions887520406010012014016092118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.70.1
38.338.4
Auto0.6
Teleop38.0
End0.0
red by 2.0
36.60.6
31.031.6
Auto1.9
Teleop34.7
End0.0
Second
30.30.1
29.930.0
Auto0.1
Teleop30.2
End0.0
blue by 1.7
1100
#20
32.00.6
26.427.0
Auto3.8
Teleop28.2
End0.0
Third
1153
#22
20.80.1
20.520.6
Auto0.2
Teleop20.6
End0.0
blue by 7.3
2523
#21
28.10.6
22.523.1
Auto3.2
Teleop24.9
End0.0