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Red34
207919.7
556321.3
17408.3
Blue25
135012.7
540013.1
71624.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5251204060801003425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5563
#23
21.30.3
21.521.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.6
End0.0
blue by 3.5
716
#26
24.81.5
26.324.8
Auto0.8
Teleop24.0
End0.0
Second
2079
#28
19.70.3
21.020.7
Auto0.3
Teleop19.4
End0.0
red by 6.6
5400
#34
13.11.5
14.613.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop13.5
End0.0
Third
1740
#38
8.30.3
8.68.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop8.7
End0.0
blue by 4.4
1350
#37
12.71.5
14.312.7
Auto0.1
Teleop12.6
End0.0