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Red35
23726.8
7840.2
355510.6
Blue106
573816.6
107127.0
405536.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions847220406010012014035106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#16
40.21.9
43.041.1
Auto0.5
Teleop39.7
End0.0
red by 4.0
36.11.5
35.336.7
Auto0.5
Teleop35.7
End0.0
Second
237
#25
26.81.9
29.727.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop27.3
End0.0
blue by 0.1
1071
#15
27.01.5
26.227.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop27.0
End0.0
Third
3555
#36
10.62.1
12.710.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.8
End0.0
blue by 6.0
5738
#35
16.61.5
15.116.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.7
End0.0