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Red113
371926.4
6140.2
476126.5
Blue150
12550.7
206738.7
511228.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65800100150200250300350400113150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61
#2
40.22.2
24.827.0
Auto1.8
Teleop38.4
End0.0
blue by 10.5
125
#1
50.73.5
36.439.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop50.7
End0.0
Second
4761
#17
26.52.2
20.923.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop27.0
End0.0
blue by 12.2
38.73.5
24.327.8
Auto0.6
Teleop38.0
End0.0
Third
3719
#14
26.42.2
23.725.9
Auto0.6
Teleop25.7
End0.0
blue by 2.4
28.73.5
19.923.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop29.0
End0.0