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Red37
197317.3
516317.6
173536.6
Blue80
151727.2
55830.6
371926.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33730501001502003780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.60.2
17.717.5
Auto1.9
Teleop34.7
End0.0
red by 6.0
558
#10
30.60.5
22.422.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.7
End0.0
Second
5163
#30
17.60.2
11.211.0
Auto0.9
Teleop16.8
End0.0
blue by 9.5
1517
#12
27.20.5
19.319.8
Auto1.1
Teleop26.0
End0.0
Third
1973
#27
17.30.2
11.811.6
Auto-0.7
Teleop18.0
End0.0
blue by 9.1
3719
#14
26.40.5
27.828.3
Auto0.6
Teleop25.7
End0.0