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Red49
15730.2
135012.7
405536.1
Blue120
115320.8
511228.7
17641.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5880010015020049120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.10.7
30.629.9
Auto0.5
Teleop35.7
End0.0
blue by 5.5
176
#3
41.62.0
37.039.0
Auto1.1
Teleop40.5
End0.0
Second
157
#13
30.20.7
21.721.0
Auto0.5
Teleop29.8
End0.0
red by 1.5
28.72.0
24.126.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop29.0
End0.0
Third
1350
#37
12.70.7
10.910.2
Auto0.1
Teleop12.6
End0.0
blue by 8.1
1153
#22
20.82.0
17.920.0
Auto0.2
Teleop20.6
End0.0