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Red64
175719.0
476126.5
447417.4
Blue96
109930.3
355510.6
540013.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48330204060801001201406496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4761
#17
26.50.8
26.227.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop27.0
End0.0
blue by 3.8
30.33.0
17.520.5
Auto0.1
Teleop30.2
End0.0
Second
1757
#24
19.01.4
13.815.2
Auto1.0
Teleop18.0
End0.0
red by 5.9
5400
#34
13.13.0
12.615.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop13.5
End0.0
Third
4474
#19
17.40.8
7.38.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.6
End0.0
red by 6.9
3555
#36
10.65.0
6.111.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.8
End0.0