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Red100
107127.0
55830.6
197317.3
Blue92
511228.7
110032.0
447417.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52512040608010010092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
#10
30.62.4
22.925.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.7
End0.0
blue by 1.4
1100
#20
32.01.9
20.422.3
Auto3.8
Teleop28.2
End0.0
Second
1071
#15
27.02.4
18.220.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop27.0
End0.0
blue by 1.8
28.71.9
26.228.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop29.0
End0.0
Third
1973
#27
17.32.4
11.614.0
Auto-0.7
Teleop18.0
End0.0
blue by 0.2
4474
#19
17.41.9
8.110.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.6
End0.0