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Red28
540013.1
115320.8
207919.7
Blue80
12550.7
516317.6
23726.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions518601001502002880

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1153
#22
20.81.5
19.117.6
Auto0.2
Teleop20.6
End0.0
blue by 29.8
125
#1
50.70.2
44.244.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop50.7
End0.0
Second
2079
#28
19.71.5
24.923.3
Auto0.3
Teleop19.4
End0.0
blue by 7.1
237
#25
26.80.2
28.628.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop27.3
End0.0
Third
5400
#34
13.11.5
14.513.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop13.5
End0.0
blue by 4.6
5163
#30
17.60.2
10.510.4
Auto0.9
Teleop16.8
End0.0