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Red24
415110.6
417610.8
573816.6
Blue16
17408.3
511228.7
135012.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions244801001502416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5738
#35
16.60.2
14.213.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.7
End0.0
blue by 12.1
28.71.5
28.126.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop29.0
End0.0
Second
4176
#39
10.80.4
6.05.6
Auto0.3
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 2.0
1350
#37
12.71.5
10.69.1
Auto0.1
Teleop12.6
End0.0
Third
4151
#31
10.60.2
8.68.3
Auto0.4
Teleop10.2
End0.0
red by 2.3
1740
#38
8.32.5
7.34.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop8.7
End0.0