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Red98
516317.6
206738.7
540013.1
Blue119
252328.1
55830.6
15730.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5464010020030040098119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.72.0
33.835.9
Auto0.6
Teleop38.0
End0.0
red by 8.1
558
#10
30.62.7
27.830.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.7
End0.0
Second
5163
#30
17.62.0
10.412.4
Auto0.9
Teleop16.8
End0.0
blue by 12.6
157
#13
30.22.7
24.427.1
Auto0.5
Teleop29.8
End0.0
Third
5400
#34
13.12.0
13.015.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop13.5
End0.0
blue by 15.0
2523
#21
28.12.7
12.615.3
Auto3.2
Teleop24.9
End0.0