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Red105
405536.1
109930.3
7840.2
Blue75
71624.8
172114.0
216839.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions946005015020010575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#16
40.20.7
37.938.6
Auto0.5
Teleop39.7
End0.0
red by 0.9
39.20.4
34.334.7
Auto0.3
Teleop38.9
End0.0
Second
36.10.7
28.329.0
Auto0.5
Teleop35.7
End0.0
red by 11.4
716
#26
24.80.4
21.922.3
Auto0.8
Teleop24.0
End0.0
Third
30.30.7
25.626.2
Auto0.1
Teleop30.2
End0.0
red by 16.3
1721
#29
14.00.4
11.011.4
Auto0.6
Teleop13.5
End0.0