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Red77
110032.0
71624.8
415110.6
Blue58
7840.2
115320.8
447417.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions466901001502007758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1100
#20
32.01.3
22.824.1
Auto3.8
Teleop28.2
End0.0
blue by 8.2
78
#16
40.20.5
38.638.1
Auto0.5
Teleop39.7
End0.0
Second
716
#26
24.81.3
22.323.6
Auto0.8
Teleop24.0
End0.0
red by 3.9
1153
#22
20.80.5
17.016.5
Auto0.2
Teleop20.6
End0.0
Third
4151
#31
10.61.3
6.37.5
Auto0.4
Teleop10.2
End0.0
blue by 6.8
4474
#19
17.40.5
12.812.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.6
End0.0