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Red54
197317.3
206738.7
417610.8
Blue110
405536.1
6140.2
540013.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4581010015020054110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.70.4
35.936.3
Auto0.6
Teleop38.0
End0.0
blue by 1.6
61
#2
40.21.6
34.636.2
Auto1.8
Teleop38.4
End0.0
Second
1973
#27
17.30.4
12.713.0
Auto-0.7
Teleop18.0
End0.0
blue by 18.9
36.11.6
29.030.5
Auto0.5
Teleop35.7
End0.0
Third
4176
#39
10.80.6
4.04.6
Auto0.3
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 2.3
5400
#34
13.11.6
15.016.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop13.5
End0.0