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Red74
216839.2
516317.6
549428.9
Blue43
175719.0
135012.7
107127.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78400501001507443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.20.0
34.734.6
Auto0.3
Teleop38.9
End0.0
red by 12.3
1071
#15
27.00.2
26.025.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop27.0
End0.0
Second
5494
#11
28.90.0
27.627.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop29.2
End0.0
red by 9.9
1757
#24
19.00.3
11.010.7
Auto1.0
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Third
5163
#30
17.60.0
12.412.4
Auto0.9
Teleop16.8
End0.0
red by 4.9
1350
#37
12.70.2
10.19.9
Auto0.1
Teleop12.6
End0.0