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Red94
175719.0
127713.8
17641.6
Blue94
23726.8
476126.5
71624.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions628001001502002509494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#3
41.61.4
40.141.4
Auto1.1
Teleop40.5
End0.0
red by 14.8
237
#25
26.81.0
26.727.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop27.3
End0.0
Second
1757
#24
19.01.8
13.215.0
Auto1.0
Teleop18.0
End0.0
blue by 7.4
4761
#17
26.51.0
28.629.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop27.0
End0.0
Third
1277
#33
13.81.4
13.414.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.0
End0.0
blue by 11.0
716
#26
24.81.0
25.126.1
Auto0.8
Teleop24.0
End0.0