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Red70
549428.9
15730.2
573816.6
Blue54
355510.6
6140.2
207919.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions726940506080901001107054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157
#13
30.20.2
30.330.0
Auto0.5
Teleop29.8
End0.0
blue by 10.0
61
#2
40.20.9
37.736.8
Auto1.8
Teleop38.4
End0.0
Second
5494
#11
28.90.2
29.128.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop29.2
End0.0
red by 9.2
2079
#28
19.70.9
20.719.8
Auto0.3
Teleop19.4
End0.0
Third
5738
#35
16.60.2
15.214.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.7
End0.0
red by 6.0
3555
#36
10.61.2
13.412.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.8
End0.0