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Red116
15730.2
17641.6
109930.3
Blue118
12550.7
110032.0
197317.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100844060120140160180116118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#3
41.60.8
41.842.6
Auto1.1
Teleop40.5
End0.0
blue by 9.1
125
#1
50.71.7
49.751.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop50.7
End0.0
Second
30.30.8
29.229.9
Auto0.1
Teleop30.2
End0.0
blue by 1.7
1100
#20
32.01.7
24.726.4
Auto3.8
Teleop28.2
End0.0
Third
157
#13
30.20.8
29.930.7
Auto0.5
Teleop29.8
End0.0
red by 13.0
1973
#27
17.31.7
15.617.3
Auto-0.7
Teleop18.0
End0.0