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Red78
549428.9
55830.6
362325.9
Blue96
417610.8
216839.2
371926.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88690204060801001201401607896

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
#10
30.60.5
31.831.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.7
End0.0
blue by 8.7
39.21.1
38.839.9
Auto0.3
Teleop38.9
End0.0
Second
5494
#11
28.90.5
30.029.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop29.2
End0.0
red by 2.6
3719
#14
26.41.1
25.726.8
Auto0.6
Teleop25.7
End0.0
Third
3623
#18
25.90.5
26.425.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop26.2
End0.0
red by 15.1
4176
#39
10.81.2
10.011.2
Auto0.3
Teleop10.4
End0.0