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Red120
110032.0
173536.6
252328.1
Blue92
206738.7
109930.3
115320.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8784406010012014012092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.60.5
33.834.3
Auto1.9
Teleop34.7
End0.0
blue by 2.0
38.70.1
38.438.4
Auto0.6
Teleop38.0
End0.0
Second
1100
#20
32.00.5
29.129.7
Auto3.8
Teleop28.2
End0.0
red by 1.7
30.30.1
30.030.0
Auto0.1
Teleop30.2
End0.0
Third
2523
#21
28.10.5
25.325.8
Auto3.2
Teleop24.9
End0.0
red by 7.3
1153
#22
20.80.1
20.520.6
Auto0.2
Teleop20.6
End0.0