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Red110
55830.6
12550.7
107127.0
Blue55
417610.8
15730.2
371926.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11558010015020011055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#1
50.70.0
51.451.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop50.7
End0.0
red by 20.5
157
#13
30.20.2
30.730.4
Auto0.5
Teleop29.8
End0.0
Second
558
#10
30.60.0
31.331.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.7
End0.0
red by 4.2
3719
#14
26.40.2
26.826.6
Auto0.6
Teleop25.7
End0.0
Third
1071
#15
27.00.0
27.727.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop27.0
End0.0
red by 16.2
4176
#39
10.80.2
11.211.0
Auto0.3
Teleop10.4
End0.0