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Red8
407413.6
122520.6
49658.6
Blue14
51302.5
34619.4
124921.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37340206080100120140814

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1225
#32
20.62.5
15.613.1
Auto0.0
Teleop20.6
End0.0
blue by 0.4
1249
#20
21.00.3
12.712.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.0
End0.0
Second
4074
#28
13.62.5
9.06.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.8
End0.0
blue by 5.8
346
#23
19.40.3
15.214.9
Auto0.0
Teleop19.3
End0.0
Third
4965
#59
8.62.5
13.310.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.8
End0.0
red by 6.1
5130
#64
2.50.3
7.47.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.6
End0.0