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Red0
28112.0
48477.8
51808.6
Blue42
407519.5
457618.1
456119.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2829020406080042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
#53
12.01.5
15.213.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.2
End0.0
blue by 7.5
19.51.0
9.410.4
Auto0.1
Teleop19.4
End0.0
Second
5180
#38
8.61.5
6.34.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.8
End0.0
blue by 10.5
4561
#12
19.01.0
8.99.8
Auto0.4
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Third
4847
#51
7.81.5
7.96.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.8
End0.0
blue by 10.3
4576
#22
18.11.0
12.013.0
Auto1.2
Teleop16.8
End0.0