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Red56
218717.6
42213.7
153326.9
Blue57
264011.9
51808.6
445211.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4427060801001201401605657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#10
26.91.6
15.917.5
Auto1.6
Teleop25.3
End0.0
red by 15.0
2640
#47
11.92.2
13.816.0
Auto0.5
Teleop11.4
End0.0
Second
2187
#18
17.61.6
12.013.6
Auto1.5
Teleop16.2
End0.0
red by 6.5
4452
#40
11.12.2
11.814.0
Auto0.6
Teleop10.5
End0.0
Third
422
#36
13.71.6
14.616.2
Auto0.6
Teleop13.2
End0.0
red by 5.1
5180
#38
8.62.2
4.97.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.8
End0.0