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Red10
34619.4
45142.3
205917.1
Blue19
263217.0
42676.2
12016.2
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362802060801001201401601019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#23
19.42.2
14.912.7
Auto0.0
Teleop19.3
End0.0
red by 2.4
2632
#14
17.00.9
10.89.9
Auto1.2
Teleop15.8
End0.0
Second
2059
#52
17.12.2
13.711.5
Auto1.0
Teleop16.1
End0.0
red by 0.9
120
#45
16.20.9
11.010.1
Auto0.2
Teleop16.0
End0.0
Third
4514
#60
2.32.2
7.45.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.4
End0.0
blue by 3.9
4267
#56
6.20.9
8.17.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.4
End0.0