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Red52
153914.8
124921.0
42213.7
Blue64
506310.6
281514.9
28112.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4625060801001201405264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1249
#20
21.00.6
16.417.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.0
End0.0
red by 6.1
2815
#24
14.92.9
10.213.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Second
1539
#26
14.80.6
12.813.4
Auto1.3
Teleop13.5
End0.0
red by 2.8
281
#53
12.02.9
10.713.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.2
End0.0
Third
422
#36
13.70.6
15.215.8
Auto0.6
Teleop13.2
End0.0
red by 3.1
5063
#33
10.62.9
8.111.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.7
End0.0