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Red77
47483.9
155312.7
187631.6
Blue82
48477.8
345920.3
450519.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333310203040506070807782

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.63.5
18.221.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop31.7
End0.0
red by 11.3
3459
#17
20.34.0
10.214.2
Auto0.0
Teleop20.3
End0.0
Second
1553
#31
12.73.5
12.916.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 6.8
19.54.0
15.919.9
Auto0.0
Teleop19.5
End0.0
Third
4748
#57
3.93.5
3.67.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop4.0
End0.0
blue by 3.8
4847
#51
7.84.0
8.312.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.8
End0.0