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Red62
482312.3
34324.1
456119.0
Blue120
34220.3
490215.0
382443.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35590208010012014016062120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#6
24.11.8
21.623.4
Auto2.0
Teleop22.1
End0.0
blue by 19.3
43.45.2
31.536.7
Auto0.2
Teleop43.2
End0.0
Second
4561
#12
19.01.8
11.913.7
Auto0.4
Teleop18.7
End0.0
blue by 1.2
342
#11
20.35.2
11.316.6
Auto0.2
Teleop20.0
End0.0
Third
4823
#41
12.31.8
6.58.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.5
End0.0
blue by 2.6
4902
#16
15.05.2
14.319.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.2
End0.0