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Red16
42676.2
51808.6
407519.5
Blue20
39760.7
349018.3
128710.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32290204060801001620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.51.4
17.616.2
Auto0.1
Teleop19.4
End0.0
red by 1.2
3490
#25
18.30.4
11.911.6
Auto0.3
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Second
5180
#38
8.61.4
9.78.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.8
End0.0
blue by 1.5
1287
#54
10.00.4
13.313.0
Auto0.0
Teleop10.0
End0.0
Third
4267
#56
6.21.4
5.23.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.4
End0.0
red by 5.5
3976
#58
0.70.4
5.24.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop0.9
End0.0