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Red68
45142.3
155312.7
407413.6
Blue79
153326.9
265522.8
153914.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30500204060801001201406879

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4074
#28
13.62.8
12.115.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.8
End0.0
blue by 13.3
1533
#10
26.92.5
15.818.3
Auto1.6
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Second
1553
#31
12.72.8
16.219.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 10.1
22.82.5
18.821.3
Auto1.7
Teleop21.1
End0.0
Third
4514
#60
2.32.8
5.68.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.4
End0.0
blue by 12.5
1539
#26
14.82.5
13.916.5
Auto1.3
Teleop13.5
End0.0