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Red64
202814.0
12939.6
122520.6
Blue83
28318.7
218717.6
493513.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393302060801001201401606483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1225
#32
20.62.0
16.818.8
Auto0.0
Teleop20.6
End0.0
red by 1.9
283
#13
18.74.0
13.717.7
Auto1.2
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Second
2028
#21
14.02.0
11.513.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.1
End0.0
blue by 3.6
2187
#18
17.64.0
15.219.3
Auto1.5
Teleop16.2
End0.0
Third
1293
#43
9.62.0
11.513.5
Auto0.3
Teleop9.3
End0.0
blue by 4.0
4935
#29
13.64.0
6.010.0
Auto0.5
Teleop13.1
End0.0