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Red8
265522.8
49013.5
458211.4
Blue53
445133.8
3651-0.0
34220.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34400206080100120140160853

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.82.3
16.013.7
Auto1.7
Teleop21.1
End0.0
blue by 11.0
33.81.1
19.120.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop34.0
End0.0
Second
4582
#42
11.42.3
9.57.2
Auto0.4
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 8.9
342
#11
20.31.1
13.014.1
Auto0.2
Teleop20.0
End0.0
Third
4901
#61
3.52.3
10.38.0
Auto0.1
Teleop3.4
End0.0
red by 3.6
3651
#66DQ
-0.01.1
8.29.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop0.2
End0.0