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Red6
408311.3
40989.4
445211.1
Blue12
155312.7
42676.2
42439.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32250406080100120140160612

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4083
#37
11.32.2
9.67.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.5
End0.0
blue by 1.4
1553
#31
12.70.8
10.79.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.7
End0.0
Second
4452
#40
11.12.2
14.011.8
Auto0.6
Teleop10.5
End0.0
red by 1.5
4243
#27
9.60.8
7.77.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop10.0
End0.0
Third
4098
#48
9.42.2
8.86.6
Auto0.4
Teleop9.0
End0.0
red by 3.2
4267
#56
6.20.8
8.98.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.4
End0.0