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Red91
126131.8
218717.6
450519.5
Blue90
153326.9
407519.5
124921.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595401001509190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.82.4
24.326.7
Auto0.8
Teleop31.0
End0.0
red by 4.9
1533
#10
26.92.6
18.621.2
Auto1.6
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Second
19.52.4
18.721.1
Auto0.0
Teleop19.5
End0.0
blue by 1.4
1249
#20
21.02.6
19.221.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.0
End0.0
Third
2187
#18
17.62.4
17.119.5
Auto1.5
Teleop16.2
End0.0
blue by 1.9
19.52.6
18.821.4
Auto0.1
Teleop19.4
End0.0